Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 24

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	South Melbourne		Keilor Park

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South Melbourne
73.9%

Draw
16.4%

Keilor Park
9.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

17.6%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

16.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Keilor Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Park than the current prediction. (+3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, South Melbourne is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
08.08.26	Avondale - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	South Melbourne - Bulleen Lions	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Alamein - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	South Melbourne - Spring Hills	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Boroondara Eagles - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTWL
- Keilor Park Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
11.08.26	Keilor Park - Heidelberg United	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Preston Lions - Keilor Park	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Keilor Park - Bentleigh Greens	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Essendon Royals - Keilor Park	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Keilor Park - Melbourne City U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLW

South Melbourne - Keilor Park