Match Info

Australian Championship - Round 2

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SBS On Demand


	South Melbourne		Moreton City Excelsior

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.7	5.16
	1.57	4.53	4.74	Watch
	1.53	4.65	4.88	Watch
	1.71	3.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	4.43 ↑ (4.05)	4.67 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
59%

Draw
21.1%

Moreton City Excelsior
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.

Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreton City Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

South Melbourne - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
72', 🟥,
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Melbourne is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
Australian Championship
10.10.25	South Melbourne - Sydney Olympic	3:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
23.08.25	Oakleigh Cannons - South Melbourne	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:5 ✺
Australian Cup
13.08.25	South Melbourne - Auckland FC	0:3 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
03.08.25	South Melbourne - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT
- Moreton City Excelsior
Australian Championship
11.10.25	Broadmeadow Magic - Moreton City Excelsior	2:3 ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
13.09.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Eastern Suburbs	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gold Coast United - Moreton City Excelsior	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast Knights	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

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