The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South Melbourne 18.4%
Draw 22.5%
Oakleigh Cannons 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
25.8%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
26.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.
Oakleigh Cannons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oakleigh Cannons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+24.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakleigh Cannons than the current prediction. (-27.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oakleigh Cannons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
South Melbourne - Oakleigh Cannons Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Oakleigh will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Oakleigh (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oakleigh (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Oakleigh will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
South Melbourne - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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