Match Info

OFC Pro League - Winners stage

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Auckland FC 2		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.74	3.42	2.14
	2.88	3.46	2.22	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.38
	2.92	3.64	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.25)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	2.24 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland FC 2
33.7%

Draw
26.1%

South Melbourne
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

24.8%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.8%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland FC 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland FC 2's performance.

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Melbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC 2 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland FC 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Melbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Eliopoulos J. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Pasquali S. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Zoricich Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Auckland 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Auckland 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

South Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Auckland 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Auckland 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland FC 2
OFC Pro League
20.04.26	South Island United - Auckland FC 2	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Bula - Auckland FC 2	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - PNG Hekari	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	3:2 ✺
18.03.26	Vanuatu United - Auckland FC 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWT
- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
01.05.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne City Youth	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	St Albans Dinamo - South Melbourne	0:4 ✺
OFC Pro League
21.04.26	South Melbourne - Tahiti United	8:1 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
19.04.26	South Melbourne - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3 ✺
OFC Pro League
17.04.26	South Melbourne - PNG Hekari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

OFC Pro League
11.04.26	Auckland FC 2 - South Melbourne	3:2
21.02.26	South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2	1:1

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