Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	South Shields		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7.25
	1.36	4.76	6.95
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.34	4.8	7.6
	1.3	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.64)	4.68 ↑ (3.6)	7.66 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
68.7%

Draw
19.4%

Matlock Town
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Shields's performance.

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matlock Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Shields that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matlock Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

South Shields - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Shields won 4.

South Shields in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Matlock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match South Shields is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's South Shields to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 7 head-to-head matches South Shields won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams South Shields won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Warrington Rylands - South Shields	0:1 ✺
07.02.23	South Shields - Liversedge	5:2 ✺
04.02.23	South Shields - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	South Shields - Marske United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWW
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.23	Matlock Town - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Matlock Town - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
07.02.23	Nantwich Town - Matlock Town	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Matlock Town - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Lancaster City - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.02.22	South Shields - Matlock Town	3:1
16.10.21	Matlock Town - South Shields	0:1
17.10.20	South Shields - Matlock Town	0:1
14.09.19	Matlock Town - South Shields	1:2
01.12.18	South Shields - Matlock Town	5:0
15.09.18	Matlock Town - South Shields	0:3

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