Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Gainsborough Trinity		South Shields

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.05
	3.05	3.05	2.07
	2.55	3.3	2.31
	3.69	3.49	1.95
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	3.52	3.42	1.96
	3.1	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.7)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	2.07 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
29.3%

Draw
27%

South Shields
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

24.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 0.

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

South Shields is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
11.02.23	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Marske United	6:2 ✺
04.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Liversedge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLL
- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
11.02.23	Warrington Rylands - South Shields	0:1 ✺
07.02.23	South Shields - Liversedge	5:2 ✺
04.02.23	South Shields - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	South Shields - Marske United	4:2 ✺
28.01.23	Atherton Collieries - South Shields	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.08.22	South Shields - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
02.04.22	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:1
20.11.21	South Shields - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1
03.11.20	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	0:1
29.02.20	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:4
24.09.19	South Shields - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
27.04.19	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	0:1

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