Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 15

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	WSL 2


	Southampton		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	4.33	3.73	1.7
	3.08	3.39	2.14	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	3.68	3.3	1.9
	3.8	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
25%

Draw
26.8%

Newcastle United
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

27.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Southampton - Newcastle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 5. Goddard A. 6. Bourne T. 19. Simpson J. 10. McAlonie M. 14. Bashford M. 8. Peplow C. 66. Palmer A. 7. Brazil E. 20. Primus A. (C)	1. Tamminen A. (G) 2. Wardlaw C. 25. Mannion A. (C) 5. Purfield J. 18. Torpey K. 4. Nobbs J. 22. Joel L. 20. Sevenius O. 10. Pike M. 11. Gregory F. 35. Murphy E.
Substitutes
60. Archibald J. 2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 17. McGowan T. 30. Pettit E. (G) 35. Roberts E. 26. Tucker R. 15. Wade E. 27. Watts I.	24. Akpan A. 9. Hayles S. 14. Larsson E. 26. Lumsden B. 13. Moan C. (G) 3. Stokes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Nobbs J. ⚽, Pike M. (A),
29', Purfield J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Nobbs J. ⚽, Murphy E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Sevenius O. ↓, Lumsden B. ↑,
68', McAlonie M. ↓, McGowan T. ↑,
77', Pike M. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
87', Nobbs J. ↓, Stokes D. ↑,
87', Primus A. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, McGowan T. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Southampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Newcastle Utd W	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15
7	Southampton W	5	1	3	1	5:4	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton WFC
English WSL 2
01.02.26	Southampton - Crystal Palace	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sunderland - Southampton	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Southampton - Bristol City	1:2 ET ✺
English WSL 2
10.01.26	Southampton - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sheffield United - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW
- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
01.02.26	Newcastle United - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
16.01.26	Newcastle United - West Ham	0:3 ✺
English WSL 2
21.12.25	Portsmouth - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
14.12.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool Feds	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
08.12.25	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:0
02.02.25	Southampton - Newcastle United	2:2
17.11.24	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:1

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