The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southend United 51.3%
Draw 22.7%
Fylde 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
22.2%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
21.9%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Southend United - Fylde Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sims J. (G) 2. Daley-Campbell V. 6. Goodliffe B. 27. Colclough R. 3. McAdam K. 8. Oldaker D. 4. Hartigan A. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 23. Popoola J. 20. Cox D. 9. Cardwell H. (C)
1. Jones Z. (G) 29. Drewe A. 15. Lancaster W. 17. Whelan C. (C) 3. Broad H. 6. Merrie C. 7. Thomas L. 8. Whelan T. 26. Butterfield L. 10. Mayor D. 14. Olley G.
Substitutes
10. Austin S. 28. Coker O. 18. Keogh S. 17. Massiah-Edwards Z. 14. Omochere P. 16. Taylor H. 31. Woodham F. (G)
25. Boyes P. (G) 19. Main C. 28. Matthews Lewis M. 22. Morris J. 5. Taylor M. 18. Upton T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Oldaker D. ⚽, Chambers-Parillon L. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Goodliffe B. (Own goal),
16', 2 - 1, Colclough R. ⚽,
36', Broad H. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
41', Oldaker D. 🟨,
43', Colclough R. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, Goodliffe B. ⚽,
53', Whelan T. 🟨,
57', Butterfield L. ↓, Upton T. ↑,
57', Merrie C. ↓, Main C. ↑,
61', Cardwell H. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
66', Olley G. ↓, Matthews Lewis M. ↑,
69', Mayor D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
71', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Massiah-Edwards Z. ↑,
72', Goodliffe B. ↓, Taylor H. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Semi - finals and 5th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Fylde could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Southend is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Southend has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southend against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Outrights of English National League for now
Southend: 11.36% AFC Fylde: 1.96%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Southend
12
7
3
2
29:18
11
24
7
AFC Fylde
12
6
2
4
22:18
4
20
Last Results with these Odds
Southend United - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.61%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Fylde - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 24.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.