Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Southend United		Fylde

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.10	3.60
	1.75	3.80	3.50
	1.83	4.10	3.40
	1.82	4.36	3.72
	1.89	3.94	3.5	Watch
	1.80	4.25	3.60
	1.79	4.19	3.68
	1.85	3.90	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)	4.08 ↓ (4.17)	3.57 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
51.3%

Draw
22.7%

Fylde
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

21.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Southend United - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sims J. (G) 2. Daley-Campbell V. 6. Goodliffe B. 27. Colclough R. 3. McAdam K. 8. Oldaker D. 4. Hartigan A. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 23. Popoola J. 20. Cox D. 9. Cardwell H. (C)	1. Jones Z. (G) 29. Drewe A. 15. Lancaster W. 17. Whelan C. (C) 3. Broad H. 6. Merrie C. 7. Thomas L. 8. Whelan T. 26. Butterfield L. 10. Mayor D. 14. Olley G.
Substitutes
10. Austin S. 28. Coker O. 18. Keogh S. 17. Massiah-Edwards Z. 14. Omochere P. 16. Taylor H. 31. Woodham F. (G)	25. Boyes P. (G) 19. Main C. 28. Matthews Lewis M. 22. Morris J. 5. Taylor M. 18. Upton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Oldaker D. ⚽, Chambers-Parillon L. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Goodliffe B. (Own goal),
16', 2 - 1, Colclough R. ⚽,
36', Broad H. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
41', Oldaker D. 🟨,
43', Colclough R. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 1, Goodliffe B. ⚽,
53', Whelan T. 🟨,
57', Butterfield L. ↓, Upton T. ↑,
57', Merrie C. ↓, Main C. ↑,
61', Cardwell H. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
66', Olley G. ↓, Matthews Lewis M. ↑,
69', Mayor D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
71', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Massiah-Edwards Z. ↑,
72', Goodliffe B. ↓, Taylor H. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Semi - finals and 5th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Fylde could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Southend is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Southend has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Southend against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	15	8	5	2	36:24	12	29
7	AFC Fylde	15	8	2	5	27:23	4	26

Outrights of English National League for now

Southend: 9.42% AFC Fylde: 1.92%

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.61%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Fylde - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 24.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
30.09.26	Eastleigh - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Southend United - Barrow	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Gateshead - Southend United	1:6 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Southend United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWT
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
29.09.26	Fylde - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Boston United - Fylde	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Fylde - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Harrogate Town - Fylde	1:2 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Yeovil Town - Fylde	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.01.25	Southend United - Fylde	2:0
17.09.24	Fylde - Southend United	2:1
13.04.24	Fylde - Southend United	0:2
23.09.23	Southend United - Fylde	1:2

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