The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southend United 55%
Draw 22.6%
Halifax Town 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
22.5%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
21.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southend United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Southend (1.67) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Duncan J. (G) 2. Daley-Campbell V. 15. Palmer A. 20. Cox D. 3. McAdam K. 28. Coker O. (C) 4. Hartigan A. 23. Popoola J. 14. Omochere P. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 17. Massiah-Edwards Z.
33. Grant T. (G) 2. Bardell M. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hugill W. 3. Conte R. 30. Johnson C. 20. Trusty T. 8. Flint W. 27. Allen C. 9. Carty C. 14. Morgan-Smith A.
Substitutes
10. Austin S. 6. Goodliffe B. 7. Kamara S. 42. Keogh S. 31. Richards R. 13. Sims J. (G) 11. Twamley L.
11. Douglas C. 10. Gilsenan Z. 16. Hill D. 6. Maltby M. 13. Mathers K. (G) 24. McDermott T. 17. Tollitt B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Omochere P. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Morgan-Smith A. ⚽, Conte R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Conte R. ↓, Hill D. ↑,
47', Coker O. 🟨,
63', Allen C. ↓, Douglas C. ↑,
64', Massiah-Edwards Z. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
72', Bardell M. ↓, Maltby M. ↑,
82', Hugill W. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
82', Morgan-Smith A. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Maltby M. (Own goal),
85', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
88', Omochere P. ↓, Goodliffe B. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Trusty T. ⚽, Carty C. (A),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Semi - finals and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 5.
Southend has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Halifax is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Southend could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Halifax has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Southend for this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Southend has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 22:8 (averaging 2.2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southend against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:2 goals (averaging 2.4:0.4 per game).