Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.56	3.8	4.8
	1.59	3.8	4.8
	1.68	3.76	4.9
	1.61	3.75	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)	3.74 ↓ (4)	4.82 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
56.8%

Draw
24.3%

Bradford Park Avenue
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 1.

Recent matches Chorley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bradford Park Avenue is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Chorley is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Chorley won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
20.08.22	Boston United - Chorley	1:4 ✺
16.08.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Chorley - Darlington	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	AFC Telford United - Chorley	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.22	Chorley - Stockport County	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTLL
- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
20.08.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
16.08.22	Scarborough Athletic - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Kettering Town - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Bradford Park Avenue - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.04.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0
02.10.21	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1
31.10.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0
27.04.19	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	3:2
27.10.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	1:0
02.04.18	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0
28.08.17	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0

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