Match Info

Super League - Round 2

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Soy United		Gucha Stars

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.04	4.38
	1.97	2.72	4.72	Watch
	1.83	2.88	4.4
	1.79	3.05	4.66
	1.73	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	4.5 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Soy United
49.4%

Draw
30.5%

Gucha Stars
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soy United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Gucha Stars have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soy United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Soy United - Gucha Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Soy United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gucha Stars has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gucha Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gucha Stars has had a series of away games.

In this match, Soy United is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Soy United	36	13	9	14	30:27	3	48
13	Gucha Stars	36	11	8	17	32:38	-6	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soy United
Kenyan Super League
25.01.26	Soy United - Mwatate United	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Soy United - Mombasa United	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Soy United	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	Kabati - Soy United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTL
- Gucha Stars FC
Kenyan Super League
17.01.26	Equity Bank - Gucha Stars	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Luanda Villa - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTTWT

Soy United - Gucha Stars