The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Almere City 35.5%
Draw 24.7%
De Treffers 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
23.3%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
23.4%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
De Treffers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Treffers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Jong Almere City - De Treffers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Mateyo M. (G) 46. Smit M. 12. van der Weijde D. 19. de Nijs O. 34. Teunissen S. 38. Lenssen L. 36. Lever S. (C) 45. Pennock B. 53. Zijsling J. 57. Hagedoorn S. 37. Ghogli I.
1. Stoskovic P. (G) 3. Langeveld T. 21. van Ginkel J. 4. Joppen G. 24. Brussaard B. 8. van der Heijden S. (C) 6. Ippel R. 18. van Strien R. 22. Yadir A. 10. den Dekker W. 17. van Bakel S.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 58. Apinsa D. 43. Asante C. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 50. Saygi M. A. 55. Woudstra X.
31. Frehe C. (G) 25. Steinfelder G. 15. van Beukering J. 12. van Hedel J. 11. Vlijter G. 19. Waterink T. 2. Zeller M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Ghogli I. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, den Dekker W. ⚽, van Bakel S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', de Nijs O. ↓, Saygi M. A. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Hagedoorn S. ⚽, Ghogli I. (A),
62', den Dekker W. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 2 - 2, den Dekker W. ⚽,
68', Joppen G. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
68', Yadir A. ↓, Zeller M. ↑,
74', Zijsling J. ↓, Abdulmahmoud S. ↑,
79', Lenssen L. ↓, Woudstra X. ↑,
83', Brussaard B. ↓, Waterink T. ↑,
87', Pennock B. ↓, Apinsa D. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, den Dekker W. ⚽,
90+3', van Bakel S. ↓, Steinfelder G. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2.
Jong Almere City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
De Treffers is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Almere City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
De Treffers
8
4
3
1
20:9
11
15
15
Jong Almere City
8
2
1
5
15:17
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
De Treffers - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.