Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Spalding United		Sudbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.35	6.1
	1.42	4.84	5.69
	1.52	4.17	5.56	Watch
	1.39	4.4	6.58
	1.62	3.75	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	4.3 ↑ (3.75)	5.7 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
62.5%

Draw
21.4%

Sudbury Town
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spalding United's performance.

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Spalding United - Sudbury Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spalding (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Fletcher K. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 3 - 1, Cybulski B. ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 1, Clifton J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Spalding is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sudbury is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spalding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spalding has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spalding is the team to beat.

We predict that Spalding will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.25	Bishops Stortford - Spalding United	1:4 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	South Shields - Spalding United	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Rushall Olympic - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Spalding United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Bury Town - Spalding United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW
- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.25	Stratford Town - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	4:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Sudbury Town - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Sudbury Town - Aveley	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
08.09.25	St Ives Town - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
19.04.25	Sudbury Town - Spalding United	0:0
07.09.24	Spalding United - Sudbury Town	0:3

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