Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	Laola1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sparta Prague		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.50	2.40	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.30
	3.25	3.60	2.07	Watch
	2.96	3.50	2.44
	3.66	3.68	1.97	Watch
	2.80	3.35	2.35
	2.82	3.64	2.37
	2.80	3.55	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.85)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	2.28 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
31.8%

Draw
26.7%

Lyon
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

26.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Prague's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	16.7%	75.9%

Sparta Prague - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). Lyon will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 64.5% – 87.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lyon (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sparta Prague (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 1 - 20%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Surovcik J. (G) 2. Suchomel M. 19. Sevinsky A. 25. Sorensen A. (C) 11. Rynes M. 28. Macek R. 18. Irving A. 17. Mercado J. 10. Karabec A. 7. Alcocer J. 14. Brunes J.	1. Greif D. (G) 22. Mata C. 6. Tessmann T. 21. Kluivert R. 98. Maitland-Niles A. 23. Morton T. 39. de Carvalho M. 76. Ouedraogo M. 16. Abner Vinicius 17. Openda L. 8. Tolisso C. (C)
Substitutes
5. Eneme S. 21. Grimaldo J. 22. Haraslin L. 47. Hegyi K. (G) 24. Holly D. 3. Kaderabek P. 36. Kuol G. 27. Singhateh E. 38. Sochurek H. 15. Vitalyos V. 29. Vojta M. 30. Zeleny J.	26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 24. Duranville J. 11. Fofana M. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 37. Kango S. 30. Konan Y. (G) 5. Mangala O. 99. Nartey N. 7. Nuamah E.
Coaches
Priske B.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Suchomel M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 1, Rynes M. ⚽, Irving A. (A),
66', Karabec A. 🟨,
67', Tolisso C. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 2 - 1, Mercado J. ⚽, Rynes M. (A),
75', Irving A. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
76', Ouedraogo M. ↓, Nuamah E. ↑,
76', de Carvalho M. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
84', Alcocer J. ↓, Haraslin L. ↑,
85', Karabec A. ↓, Sochurek H. ↑,
85', Brunes J. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
90+2', Mercado J. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
90+4', Rynes M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Sparta Prague has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Lyon: 0.37% Sparta Prague: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.9%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
31.07.26	Sparta Prague - Zlín	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Sparta Prague	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Nordsjælland - Sparta Prague	5:1 ✺
16.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Sparta Prague - Gamba Osaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- Olympique Lyon
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Betis - Lyon	4:0 ✺
24.07.26	Wolfsburg - Lyon	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Lyon - Servette	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Lyon - St. Gallen	6:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Lyon - Lens	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Lyon - Sparta Prague	3:0
21.10.21	Sparta Prague - Lyon	3:4
22.11.12	Sparta Prague - Lyon	1:1
20.09.12	Lyon - Sparta Prague	2:1

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