Match Info

Date: 5 November 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 7d 11h 📅 Remind Me


	Real Sociedad		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.70	3.50
	1.90	3.80	3.70
	1.96	3.97	3.66
	1.96	3.81	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.82 ↑ (3.81)	3.61 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
49%

Draw
24.8%

Lyon
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

#ad

Preview

Real Sociedad is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Lyon have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Sociedad holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 1.7:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Sociedad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	8:3	5	4

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Lyon: 4.02% Real Sociedad: 3.92%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.53%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.26	Real Sociedad - Levante	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Lillestrøm SK - Real Sociedad	0:6 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.26	Málaga - Real Sociedad	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Saint-Gilloise - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.10.26	Real Sociedad - Deportivo A Coruña	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
26.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Hoffenheim - Lyon	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Lyon - Nice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
28.08.13	Real Sociedad - Lyon	2:0
20.08.13	Lyon - Real Sociedad	0:2
Club Friendly
20.07.12	Lyon - Real Sociedad	1:1

Upcoming Matches