Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, MTV Katsomo
France	CANAL+ Sport, Free, myCANAL
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Cinemax, HBO Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 3, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Prima+ app


	Sparta Prague		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.8
	1.93	3.75	3.7
	1.95	3.65	3.65
	1.98	3.83	3.79
	2	3.56	3.72
	1.8	3.8	3.5
	1.94	3.95	3.79
	1.95	3.65	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
49%

Draw
25.4%

Malmö
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.4%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.5%	17.5%	10%

Sparta Prague - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 27. Panak F. (C) 25. Sorensen A. 28. Wiesner T. 20. Laci Q. 6. Kairinen K. 32. Rynes M. 14. Birmancevic V. 7. Olatunji V. 22. Haraslin L.	27. Dahlin J. (G) 19. Rosler C. 18. Jansson P. 35. Zatterstrom N. 17. Stryger Larsen J. 8. Pena S. 23. Johnsen L. 25. Busanello 5. Rieks S. 9. Kiese Thelin I. 10. Christiansen A. (C)
Substitutes
13. Danek K. 29. Krasniqi E. 9. Kuchta J. 8. Pavelka D. 17. Preciado A. 5. Ross M. 10. Rrahmani A. 18. Sadilek L. 4. Solbakken M. 11. Tuci I. 24. Vorel V. (G) 30. Zeleny J.	22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 38. Bolin H. 20. Botheim E. 14. Jorgensen S. 34. Loukili Z. 33. Makolli E. 13. Olsson M. 30. Persson J. (G) 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A.
Coaches
Friis L.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Zatterstrom N. 🟨,
19', Birmancevic V. (Pen),
25', Vitik M. 🟨,
27', Christiansen A. (Pen),
41', Pena S. 🟨,
45+1', Panak F. 🟨,
45+2', Christiansen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Rieks S. ↓, Botheim E. ↑,
69', Wiesner T. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
70', Olatunji V. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
73', Rosler C. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
73', Christiansen A. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Haraslin L. (Pen),
83', 2 - 0, Rrahmani A. ⚽, Haraslin L. (A),
84', Rrahmani A. 🟨,
87', Johnsen L. ↓, Loukili Z. ↑,
88', Haraslin L. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Sparta Prague in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Malmö is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sparta Prague have a series of guest games.

Sparta Prague will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Garcia I. (Knee Injury) Mokrovics R. (Health problems)

There will not play in Malmö: Holmquist Vecchia S. (Back Injury) Lewicki O. (Knee Injury) Moisander N. (Knee Injury) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sparta Prague won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sparta Prague won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
24.08.24	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.08.24	Malmö - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
17.08.24	Jablonec - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	FCSB - Sparta Prague	2:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.24	Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.08.24	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.08.24	Malmö - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Malmö - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	PAOK - Malmö	3:4 ET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.24	Halmstad - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.08.24	Malmö - Sparta Prague	0:2
Club Friendly
01.02.24	Malmö - Sparta Prague	1:2
06.02.20	Sparta Prague - Malmö	0:2
UEFA Champions League
06.08.14	Malmö - Sparta Prague	2:0
29.07.14	Sparta Prague - Malmö	4:2

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