Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Sparta Prague		Slovan Liberec

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.65	Watch
	1.77	3.92	4.76
	1.68	4.05	4.54	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.4
	1.71	3.74	4.53	Watch
	1.69	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.49)	3.76 ↓ (4.56)	4.63 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
54.8%

Draw
24.9%

Slovan Liberec
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

20.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

23.4%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta Prague's form might have worsened.

Slovan Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovan Liberec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Slovan Liberec will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Slovan Liberec (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Slovan Liberec (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 50%). Slovan Liberec (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 4. Martinec J. 25. Sorensen A. 30. Zeleny J. 17. Preciado A. 5. Eneme S. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Rynes M. 7. Mercado J. 9. Rrahmani A. 22. Haraslin L. (C)	40. Koubek T. (C) 8. Icha M. 2. Plechaty D. 16. N'Guessan A. 27. Kayondo A. 12. Stransky V. 30. Diakite T. 5. Hodous P. 9. Masek L. 7. Soliu A. 99. Krollis R.
Substitutes
14. Birmancevic V. 3. Kaderabek P. 10. Kuchta J. 36. Kuol G. 20. Mannsverk S. 28. Milla K. 27. Panak F. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G)	24. Dulay P. 19. Hlavaty M. 17. Julis P. 18. Kozeluh J. 1. Krajcirik I. (G) 21. Letenay L. 20. Mahmic E. 26. Masopust L. 33. Pesl L. (G) 4. Ryzek M.
Coaches
Priske B.	Kovac R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Icha M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Krollis R. ⚽, Kayondo A. (A),
42', 1 - 1, N'Guessan A. (Own goal),
45+2', Kayondo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Mercado J. 🟨,
55', Sorensen A. 🟨,
57', Eneme S. ↓, Mannsverk S. ↑,
57', Soliu A. ↓, Letenay L. ↑,
68', Krollis R. ↓, Mahmic E. ↑,
68', Hodous P. ↓, Kozeluh J. ↑,
68', Zeleny J. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
68', Mercado J. ↓, Birmancevic V. ↑,
76', Rynes M. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
77', Masek L. 🟨,
78', Priske B. 🟨,
78', Kovac R. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Letenay L. ⚽,
84', Masek L. ↓, Julis P. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Kuchta J. ⚽, Birmancevic V. (A),
87', N'Guessan A. 🟨,
90+4', Kayondo A. 🟨,
90+4', Kuchta J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 4.

Sparta Prague is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Slovan Liberec is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Slovan Liberec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sparta Prague is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Cobbaut E. (Injury) Holly D. (Health problems) Uchenna E. (Health problems)

There will not play in Slovan Liberec: Gabriel S. (Knee Injury) Knapik J. (Knee Injury) Ryzek M. (Inactive) Spatenka F. (Health problems) Zyba Q. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Sparta Prague will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:20. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
03.12.25	Artis Brno - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.11.25	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Slovan Liberec
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Dukla Prague - Slovan Liberec	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Slovan Liberec - Sigma Olomouc	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Pardubice - Slovan Liberec	0:4 ✺
09.11.25	Slovan Liberec - Karviná	6:0 ✺
01.11.25	Slovácko - Slovan Liberec	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
17.08.25	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	0:2
15.03.25	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	1:0
19.10.24	Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec	2:1
18.02.24	Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec	2:1
03.09.23	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	0:2
30.04.23	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	1:3
Czech Cup
01.03.23	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	2:3 penalties

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