Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Singapore	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	18:45	Sport 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 14
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus


	Universitatea Craiova		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.28
	3.34	3.26	2.31
	3.31	3.28	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.29	3.24	2.28
	3.25	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.77)	3.2 ↑ (3.11)	2.27 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
28.9%

Draw
29.5%

Sparta Prague
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

31.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	47.4%	31.6%

Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Uni Craiova (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Uni Craiova (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Isenko P. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 28. Rus A. 15. Badelj J. 19. Mogos V. 4. Cretu A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 23. Teles 20. Cicaldau A. (C) 12. Etim M. 10. Baiaram S.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 19. Sevinsky A. 25. Sorensen A. 26. Vydra P. 17. Preciado A. 20. Mannsverk S. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Rynes M. 7. Mercado J. 9. Rrahmani A. 22. Haraslin L. (C)
Substitutes
9. Al Hamlawi A. 29. Basceanu L. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 38. Muntean D. 39. Nsimba S. 21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N.	14. Birmancevic V. 5. Eneme S. 3. Kaderabek P. 10. Kuchta J. 36. Kuol G. 28. Milla K. 27. Panak F. 52. Penxa O. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Coelho F.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Preciado A. 🟨,
38', Mekvabishvili A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Rrahmani A. ⚽, Haraslin L. (A),
53', Sorensen A. 🟨,
57', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
67', Mannsverk S. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
67', Rrahmani A. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
71', Etim M. ↓, Basceanu L. ↑,
72', Teles ↓, Houri L. ↑,
72', Haraslin L. ↓, Birmancevic V. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Nsimba S. ⚽, Cretu A. (A),
82', Baiaram S. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
84', Mercado J. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Rynes M. ⚽, Preciado A. (A),
90+1', Kuol G. 🟨,
90+2', Romanchuk O. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.

Sparta Prague could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Uni Craiova: Bancu N. (Yellow Cards) Mora C. (Muscle Injury) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Holly D. (Health problems) Martinec J. (Inactive) Sevinsky A. (Health problems) Uchenna E. (Health problems) Vorel V. (Inactive) Zeleny J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Uni Craiova: Mogos V. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Universitatea Craiova - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
07.12.25	Universitatea Craiova - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.25	Universitatea Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Universitatea Craiova - Mainz	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.11.25	Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTWW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
03.12.25	Artis Brno - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.11.25	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

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