Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Universitatea Craiova		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.28
	3.34	3.26	2.31
	3.31	3.28	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.29	3.24	2.28
	3.25	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.77)	3.2 ↑ (3.11)	2.27 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
28.9%

Draw
29.5%

Sparta Prague
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

31.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	47.4%	31.6%

Universitatea Craiova - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Uni Craiova (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Uni Craiova (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Isenko P. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 28. Rus A. 15. Badelj J. 19. Mogos V. 4. Cretu A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 23. Teles 20. Cicaldau A. (C) 12. Etim M. 10. Baiaram S.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 19. Sevinsky A. 25. Sorensen A. 26. Vydra P. 17. Preciado A. 20. Mannsverk S. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Rynes M. 7. Mercado J. 9. Rrahmani A. 22. Haraslin L. (C)
Substitutes
9. Al Hamlawi A. 29. Basceanu L. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 38. Muntean D. 39. Nsimba S. 21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N.	14. Birmancevic V. 5. Eneme S. 3. Kaderabek P. 10. Kuchta J. 36. Kuol G. 28. Milla K. 27. Panak F. 52. Penxa O. 18. Sadilek L. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 30. Zeleny J.
Coaches
Coelho F.	Priske B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Preciado A. 🟨,
38', Mekvabishvili A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Rrahmani A. ⚽, Haraslin L. (A),
53', Sorensen A. 🟨,
57', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
67', Mannsverk S. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
67', Rrahmani A. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
71', Etim M. ↓, Basceanu L. ↑,
72', Teles ↓, Houri L. ↑,
72', Haraslin L. ↓, Birmancevic V. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Nsimba S. ⚽, Cretu A. (A),
82', Baiaram S. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
84', Mercado J. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Rynes M. ⚽, Preciado A. (A),
90+1', Kuol G. 🟨,
90+2', Romanchuk O. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.

Sparta Prague could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Uni Craiova: Bancu N. (Yellow Cards) Mora C. (Muscle Injury) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Holly D. (Health problems) Martinec J. (Inactive) Sevinsky A. (Health problems) Uchenna E. (Health problems) Vorel V. (Inactive) Zeleny J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Uni Craiova: Mogos V. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Universitatea Craiova - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
07.12.25	Universitatea Craiova - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.25	Universitatea Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Universitatea Craiova - Mainz	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.11.25	Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTWW
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
03.12.25	Artis Brno - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
30.11.25	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

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