Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday


	Spartak 2 Moscow		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.58
	5.2	4.3	1.43
	5.38	5.29	1.48
	6	4.5	1.42
	6.15	4.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↓ (9.03)	4.51 ↓ (5.28)	1.47 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak 2 Moscow
17%

Draw
20.5%

Krylya Sovetov
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

17.8%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.1%

15.6%

82.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak 2 Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak 2 Moscow's performance.

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak 2 Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak 2 Moscow - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Premier League).

Krylya Sovetov is Qualified for Premier League

Spartak 2 M is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krylya Sovetov is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Spartak 2 M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spartak 2 M won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak 2 M won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL
02.05.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak 2 Moscow	4:0 ✺
28.04.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	3:5 ✺
24.04.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	4:2 ✺
17.04.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	Orenburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian FNL
02.05.21	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	1:2 ✺
28.04.21	Krylya Sovetov - Torpedo Moscow	5:1 ✺
24.04.21	Shinnik - Krylya Sovetov	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
21.04.21	Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
17.04.21	Krylya Sovetov - Fakel	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.10.20	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:1
07.04.18	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak 2 Moscow	5:1
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.18	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:2 penalties
Russian FNL
11.09.17	Spartak 2 Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	0:3

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