Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Akron Tolyatti		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.50	2.53
	2.80	3.40	2.45
	2.90	3.51	2.50	Watch
	2.70	3.35	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	2.48 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
33.8%

Draw
27.7%

Krylya Sovetov
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gudiev V. (G) 2. Rocha Y. 26. Escoval R. 13. Bardybakhin V. 21. Fernandez R. 8. Bistrovic K. 69. Dmitriev A. 22. Maradishvili K. 15. Loncar S. (C) 10. Arevalo K. 7. Benchimol	30. Pesjakov S. (C) 22. Fernando Costanza 23. Chernov N. 47. Bozhin S. 4. Gorshkov Y. 2. Pechenin K. 8. Vityugov M. 15. Rasskazov N. 17. Chesnokov I. 19. Oleynikov I. 10. Kramaric M.
Substitutes
81. Bazilevskiy N. 11. Dudu 72. Khametov M. 80. Khosonov K. 3. Paulo Vitor 67. Platon N. 89. Popenkov D. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 98. Volochay R. (G)	72. Fernandez D. 39. Frolov E. (G) 3. Galdames T. 80. Kokarev N. (G) 18. Lepskii I. 77. Makarov D. 26. Marin J. 67. Mukailov K. 5. Oroz D. 11. Rahmanovic A. 73. Shitov V. 20. Stolbov K.
Coaches
Blagojevic S.	Bulatov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Fernandez R. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Chernov N. ⚽, Gorshkov Y. (A),
36', Vityugov M. 🟨,
41', Fernando Costanza ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
43', Bistrovic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
57', Bistrovic K. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
57', Maradishvili K. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
57', Dmitriev A. ↓, Dudu ↑,
64', Kramaric M. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
64', Chesnokov I. ↓, Oroz D. ↑,
64', Vityugov M. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
73', Chernov N. 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, Oroz D. ⚽,
78', Escoval R. 🟨,
81', Oleynikov I. ↓, Mukailov K. ↑,
85', Dudu 🟨,
90+1', Bazilevskiy N. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 3, Shitov V. ⚽, Gorshkov Y. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Krylya Sovetov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Akron: Nedelcearu I. (Injury) Zheleznov Y. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Akron won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Krylya Sovetov	10	2	6	2	14:15	-1	12
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

Krylya Sovetov - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Cup
18.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	0:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTTLL
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Zenit	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylya Sovetov	1:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	2:1
Russian Premier League
17.05.26	Krylya Sovetov - Akron Tolyatti	4:1
19.07.25	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	1:1
09.03.25	Krylya Sovetov - Akron Tolyatti	0:2
03.11.24	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	2:0
Club Friendly
30.06.22	Krylya Sovetov - Akron Tolyatti	0:2
Russian FNL
02.05.21	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	1:2

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