Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Shinnik		Krylya Sovetov

	1	X	2
	19	5.5	1.16	Watch
	15	5.5	1.2
	10.5	4.7	1.22
	13	5.4	1.16
	15.23	6.16	1.21
	15	5.5	1.18
	15.5	6.45	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.75 ↑ (9.9)	5.6 ↑ (5.15)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
6.2%

Draw
16.4%

Krylya Sovetov
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

18.3%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

8.4%

16.1%

81.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krylya Sovetov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Shinnik - Krylya Sovetov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Premier League).

Shinnik is Relegated to

Shinnik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Krylya Sovetov is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Krylya Sovetov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
17.04.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
07.04.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Shinnik - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1 ✺
28.03.21	Irtysh Omsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLTLT
- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Cup
21.04.21	Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
17.04.21	Krylya Sovetov - Fakel	5:1 ✺
12.04.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
08.04.21	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
03.04.21	Krylya Sovetov - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.10.20	Krylya Sovetov - Shinnik	4:1
25.11.17	Krylya Sovetov - Shinnik	3:3
09.08.17	Shinnik - Krylya Sovetov	2:3
Russian Cup
22.09.16	Shinnik - Krylya Sovetov	0:2
Russian FNL
18.03.15	Shinnik - Krylya Sovetov	0:0
17.08.14	Krylya Sovetov - Shinnik	1:1

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