The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Nalchik 21.8%
Draw 26.9%
FC Sevastopol 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
26.1%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
25.6%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Nalchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Nalchik's form might have worsened.
FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Sevastopol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Nalchik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Sevastopol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartak Nalchik - FC Sevastopol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Pekov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 0, Khatsukov A. ⚽,
59', Aliev B. 🟥,
64', 2 - 1, Ivanov D. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Selyaev A. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Ivanov D. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak N won 0.
In recent matches, Spartak N has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sevastopol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sevastopol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sevastopol might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spartak N won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak N won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
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