Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Spartak Pleven		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	4.96	3.6	1.69
	4.92	3.45	1.63
	5.1	3.46	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.67)	3.55 ↑ (3.31)	1.66 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Pleven
19.2%

Draw
25.8%

Septemvri Sofia
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

27.3%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Pleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Pleven's form might have worsened.

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Pleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonov S. (C) 16. Bakalski I. 15. Bakoutsis P. 8. Chernakov R. 6. Ivanov V. 2. Kalchev D. 14. Karamfilov B. 19. Pehlivanov Y. 4. Pitsolis A. 10. Shopov V. 17. Zhelev J. H.	12. Sheytanov D. (G) 11. Achkov M. 4. Arsov I. 8. Atanasov Z. A. 22. Dimitrov Z. 5. Georgiev A. (C) 10. Kostadinov D. 9. Mihaylov I. 18. Onasci K. 7. Ramadan A. 13. Yordanov Y.
Substitutes
13. Chakarov A. 26. Dimitrov M. 20. Georgiev T. 9. Hristov S. 21. Makaveev V. 11. Petkov H. 7. Petkov S. 30. Stefanov D. (G) 5. Varbanov I.	6. Arahangelov N. 26. Badara A. 23. Gavrilov Y. 14. Ivanov H. 1. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 24. Marinov B. 16. Petrov A. 3. Polendakov M. 17. Stojanov M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Spartak Pleven in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Septemvri Sofia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak Pleven could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Septemvri Sofia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spartak Pleven won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Pleven won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.12.23	Dunav Ruse - Spartak Pleven	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Spartak Pleven - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Spartak Pleven - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Spartak Pleven	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	Spartak Pleven - Bdin Vidin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WWWWT
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.12.23	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets II	0:0 ✺
27.11.23	Lovech - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Vratsa	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.07.23	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Pleven	2:1
24.10.19	Spartak Pleven - Septemvri Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Cup
26.09.19	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Pleven	4:3
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.16	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Pleven	3:3

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