Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 4 December 2023, Monday


	Septemvri Sofia		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	9	Watch
	1.31	4.72	8.26
	1.29	4.72	8.26
	1.26	5	9.2	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	4.8 ↑ (4.5)	8.66 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
70.6%

Draw
18.9%

Ludogorets II
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

17.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets II Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ludogorets II will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sheytanov D. (G) 4. Arsov I. 8. Atanasov Z. A. 22. Dimitrov Z. 23. Gavrilov Y. 10. Kostadinov D. 9. Mihaylov I. 18. Onasci K. 7. Ramadan A. (C) 17. Stojanov M. 13. Yordanov Y.	69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 90. Delev S. 58. Iliev D. 72. Ivanov R. 74. Kelyovluev H. 34. Kostadinov B. 15. Pedro Henrique 53. Pemperski A. 50. Petrov T. (C) 80. Stefanov M. 64. Yankov D.
Substitutes
6. Arahangelov N. 26. Badara A. 25. Dimitrov G. 2. Dimitrov I. 1. Iliev I. (G) 14. Ivanov H. 24. Marinov B. 16. Petrov A.	76. Dimitrov K. 75. Georgiev P. 68. Habil U. (G) 62. Ivanov D. 45. Karaangelov P. 59. Lukanov A. 35. Nikolov N. 42. Shishkov S. 93. Yordanov Y.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ludogorets II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Septemvri Sofia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.11.23	Lovech - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Vratsa	5:6 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.10.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTLT
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.11.23	Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas	0:1 ✺
17.11.23	Yantra Gabrovo - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	4:0 ✺
27.10.23	Ludogorets II - Belasitsa Petrich	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.07.23	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Sofia	1:2
18.03.22	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Sofia	2:1
12.09.21	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets II	3:2
29.04.21	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets II	2:1
09.11.20	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Sofia	2:0
10.10.19	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets II	2:2
11.12.16	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets II	2:1

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