Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Lovech		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.78	Watch
	4.34	3.2	1.83
	4.35	3.19	1.76
	4.6	3.5	1.57
	4.45	3.3	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.35	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (5.25)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	1.74 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
20.7%

Draw
27.4%

Septemvri Sofia
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

25.9%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

25.5%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Lovech - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bozhev A. (G) 3. Angelov A. 17. Bucci K. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. 21. Kapitanov I. (C) 6. Lozanov Y. 5. Minkov M. 83. Penev I. 4. Staykov G. 10. Vasilev V.	12. Sheytanov D. (G) 11. Achkov M. 4. Arsov I. 8. Atanasov Z. A. 22. Dimitrov Z. 5. Georgiev A. (C) 10. Kostadinov D. 24. Marinov B. 9. Mihaylov I. 7. Ramadan A. 13. Yordanov Y.
Substitutes
12. Georgiev D. 9. Georgiev G. 20. Kasov Y. 15. Marinov R. 19. Nankov V. 99. Simeonov S. (G) 14. Vasilev V. 77. Yankov M. 7. Zhabov P.	6. Arahangelov N. 23. Gavrilov Y. 1. Iliev I. (G) 14. Ivanov H. 20. Lastardzhiev D. 18. Onasci K. 16. Petrov A. 3. Polendakov M.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Litex won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Septemvri Sofia is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Litex won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Litex won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.11.23	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
31.10.23	Lovech - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.23	Lovech - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Lovech	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WLWLW
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.11.23	Chernomorets Balchik - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Vratsa	5:6 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.10.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Sofia	0:0 ✺
23.10.23	Septemvri Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.07.23	Septemvri Sofia - Lovech	2:0
05.03.22	Septemvri Sofia - Lovech	3:1
17.08.21	Lovech - Septemvri Sofia	0:1
15.04.21	Lovech - Septemvri Sofia	2:3
29.02.20	Lovech - Septemvri Sofia	1:0
10.08.19	Septemvri Sofia - Lovech	4:3

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