The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Tambov 71.3%
Draw 19.5%
Avangard Kursk 9.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.9%
22.4%
10.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
21.1%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Spartak Tambov - Avangard Kursk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Kuptsov D. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 2 - 0, Petrov R. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 9th).
Spartak Tambov has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Avangard Kursk has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartak Tambov holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Tambov has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak Tambov against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.