Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Spartak Trnava		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.55
	5.5	4.1	1.51
	5.5	4.3	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.56
	6.09	4.46	1.54
	5.6	4.45	1.52
	5.6	4.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (4.9)	4.38 ↑ (4.19)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
16.9%

Draw
21.6%

Fenerbahçe
61.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.3%

22.5%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.6%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.3%	95.7%

Spartak Trnava - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (44 of 46 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takac D. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 3. Djuric A. 26. Kosa S. 18. Sulek M. 80. Zeljkovic A. 27. Bernat J. 29. Mikovic M. (C) 97. Ofori K. 57. Duris M. 23. Daniel E.	70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Aziz S. 24. Oosterwolde J. 8. Yandas M. H. (C) 27. Crespo M. 26. Zajc M. 15. King J. 23. Batshuayi M. 11. Kent R.
Substitutes
11. Azango P. 25. Bainovic F. 5. Kompan M. 20. Oseni A. 17. Paur J. 14. Pena R. 6. Prochazka R. 19. Ristovski M. 8. Stefanik S. 2. Stetina L. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G)	95. Akcicek Y. 97. Akyuz F. O. (G) 6. Djiku A. 9. Dzeko E. 35. Fred 7. Kadioglu F. 40. Livakovic D. (G) 22. Nayir U. 53. Szymanski S. 10. Tadic D. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Kartal I.

Preview

Trnava is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fenerbahçe is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Trnava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fenerbahçe have a series of home games.

In this match Fenerbahçe is certain favorite.

There will not play in Trnava: Djuricin M. (Heart Problems)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Lincoln (Knee Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury) Under C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Trnava: Bolaji K. (Injury) Bukata M. (Illness) Kamenar L. (Injury) Rusov D. (Injury) Stetina L. (Illness)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Mor E. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trnava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Trnava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
01.10.23	DAC Dunajská Streda - Spartak Trnava	0:1 ✺
27.09.23	Spartak Trnava - MFK Košice	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Spartak Trnava - Ružomberok	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Trnava	4:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
16.09.23	Zemplín Michalovce - Spartak Trnava	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
01.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	5:0 ✺
28.09.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:0 ✺
24.09.23	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Fenerbahçe - Nordsjælland	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.09.23	Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.12.18	Spartak Trnava - Fenerbahçe	1:0
04.10.18	Fenerbahçe - Spartak Trnava	2:0

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