Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Nuza G. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.33	6
	1.47	4.66	7.03
	1.46	4.55	6.55
	1.52	4.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	4.54 ↑ (4.17)	6.5 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
64.4%

Draw
20.9%

Spartak Trnava
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sluga S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 26. Sundberg N. 24. Verdon O. 17. Son 82. Yordanov I. 6. Piotrowski J. 8. Goncalves C. 37. Tekpetey B. (C) 10. Tissera M. 77. Caio Vidal	71. Takac D. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 4. Gorosito N. 26. Kosa S. 18. Sulek M. 80. Zeljkovic A. 29. Mikovic M. (C) 25. Bainovic F. 97. Ofori K. 57. Duris M. 27. Bernat J.
Substitutes
11. Chouiar M. 90. Delev S. 88. Nedelev T. 1. Padt S. (G) 30. Pedro Naressi 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 22. Russo F. 99. Rwan Seco 5. Terziev G. 64. Yankov D.	11. Azango P. 23. Daniel E. 3. Djuric A. 5. Kompan M. 20. Oseni A. 17. Paur J. 6. Prochazka R. 19. Ristovski M. 8. Stefanik S. 13. Ujlaky M. 72. Vantruba M. (G)
Coaches
Petev I.	Gasparik M.

Preview

Recent matches Ludogorets is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trnava is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trnava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Trnava have a series of guest games.

In this match Ludogorets is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Almeida D. (Knee Injury) Duah K. (Ankle Injury) Gropper D. (Knee Injury) Nedyalkov A. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Trnava: Bernat J. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Ajax - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.08.23	Cherno More Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 TWWLL
- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
16.09.23	Zemplín Michalovce - Spartak Trnava	3:4 ✺
Slovak Cup
13.09.23	Šurany - Spartak Trnava	0:8 ✺
Slovak Superliga
03.09.23	Spartak Trnava - Žilina	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Dnipro-1 - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ET ✺
Slovak Superliga
27.08.23	Skalica - Spartak Trnava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT

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