Match Info

efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)

Referee: Popov N. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra


	Montana		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.25
	5.75	3.9	1.51
	9.4	5.5	1.24
	8.38	5.14	1.27
	10.4	5.37	1.28	Watch
	10	4.8	1.25
	11.6	5.75	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.22 ↑ (2.29)	5.14 ↑ (3.05)	1.29 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
10.1%

Draw
18.1%

Spartak Varna
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+42.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Varna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+31.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-43.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	10.5%	68.4%

Montana - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Spartak Varna (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Spartak Varna (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Simeonov V. (C) 13. Soares J. 5. Markov I. 15. Acheampong C. 26. Slavchev R. 20. Balde U. 8. Atanasov P. 23. Tungarov A. 14. Burov D. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 17. Kokonov I.	1. Ribeiro P. (G) 20. Lozev D. (C) 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 5. Krastev D. 2. Ivanov B. 17. Marinov T. 88. Yordanov D. 10. Jota Lopes 90. Stojanovski G. 21. Xande 9. Chunchukov T.
Substitutes
21. Andreev P. 27. Azevedo T. 22. Beji 16. Carmona Sierra D. 7. Dimitrov B. 12. Krastev N. (G) 10. Todorov A. 24. Tsingaras A. 11. Vitinho	50. Georgiev M. 8. Ivanov D. 6. John E. 23. Kovalyov M. (G) 39. Kurbanov K. 18. Moukachar S. 7. Prindzhev P. 29. Tailson
Coaches
Atanasov A.	Hadzievski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Stojanovski G. ⚽, Xande (A),
31', Balde U. 🟥,
37', Stojanovski G. 🟨,
41', Slavchev R. ↓, Todorov A. ↑,
44', Juric-Petrasilo M. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Atanasov P. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Chunchukov T. ⚽,
59', Tsekov Dimitrov V. ↓, Dimitrov B. ↑,
59', Kokonov I. ↓, Tsingaras A. ↑,
71', Chunchukov T. 🟨,
78', Yordanov D. 🟨,
80', Jota Lopes ↓, Tailson ↑,
80', Xande ↓, John E. ↑,
87', Chunchukov T. ↓, Ivanov D. ↑,
87', Yordanov D. ↓, Moukachar S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0.

Montana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak Varna is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Spartak Varna is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Spartak Varna: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.05.26	Botev Vratsa - Montana	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Montana - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTTTW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.03.26	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0
19.09.25	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0
09.10.23	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1
21.05.22	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1
27.11.21	Spartak Varna - Montana	2:1
21.09.19	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0

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