Match Info

Virsliga - Round 24

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic


	Auda Riga		BFC Daugavpils

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.40	3.60
	1.78	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.76	3.67	4.28
	1.72	4.01	4.07	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.72	3.62	4.12	Watch
	1.7	3.7	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	3.64 ↓ (3.83)	3.98 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
52.1%

Draw
25%

BFC Daugavpils
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

23.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sturins R. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. (C) 4. Ouedraogo M. 6. Kragliks R. 80. Aranda S. 77. Minins J. 20. Traore Y. 26. Lusweki H. 10. Fofana W. 23. Fofana M. 7. Appiah A.	12. Beks J. (G) 37. Mihalcovs G. 5. Papa 20. Taty C. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 8. Skrebels R. 11. Yakubu J. 4. Mukwelle W. 9. Traore A. 97. Kivinda D.
Substitutes
12. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 25. Diedhiou B. 46. Gerold J. 14. Ibrahim H. 47. Kone K. 98. Purins N. (G) 71. Rubenis O.	77. Aizups R. 3. Ayebadiepreye D. 2. Baikovs R. 66. Bujanovs K. 27. Kopilovs M. 19. Pinaskins E. 42. Saveljevs A. 1. Saveljevs J. (G) 85. Voitkevics R.
Coaches
Gorkss R.	Kurbatov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Mukwelle W. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Lusweki H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Traore Y. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
55', Hrvoj T. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
69', Lusweki H. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
69', Ibrahim H. ↓, Gerold J. ↑,
72', Skrebels R. ↓, Pinaskins E. ↑,
78', Fofana M. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
83', Fofana W. 🟨,
83', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
90+1', Kone K. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 1.

Recent performances by Auda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Daugavpils is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Daugavpils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auda won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Auda	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	35:35	0	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	FCSB - Auda Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Auda Riga - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.26	RFS - Auda Riga	1:1 ✺
29.06.26	Auda Riga - Riga	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WWTLT
- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.26	Ogre United - BFC Daugavpils	0:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils	3:4 penalties ✺
Latvian Virsliga
04.07.26	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	3:1 ✺
25.06.26	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1
12.04.26	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	2:3
05.10.25	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	1:0
20.07.25	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:3
20.05.25	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1
04.04.25	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	2:1
26.10.24	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	1:2

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