Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala)


	Spartaks		Liepāja

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.46
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	5.4	4.3	1.45
	6.02	4.39	1.39
	6.5	3.9	1.44
	5.85	4.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↓ (6.7)	4.22 ↓ (4.5)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartaks
15.2%

Draw
21.5%

Liepāja
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

20.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Spartaks - Liepāja Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Spartaks will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Liepāja will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liepāja: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartaks won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Liepāja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liepāja is absolute favorite.

Last 35 head-to-head matches Spartaks won 10 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 39-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartaks won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
08.08.22	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Spartaks - Super Nova	2:3 ✺
24.07.22	Riga - Spartaks	2:1 ✺
13.07.22	Tukums 2000 - Spartaks	3:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
09.07.22	Rīgas FS - Spartaks	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
07.08.22	Liepāja - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
04.08.22	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Metta - Liepāja	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Young Boys - Liepāja	3:0 ✺
21.07.22	Liepāja - Young Boys	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
10.05.22	Liepāja - Spartaks	0:0
01.04.22	Spartaks - Liepāja	0:2
06.11.21	Spartaks - Liepāja	0:1
28.08.21	Liepāja - Spartaks	3:0
11.08.21	Liepāja - Spartaks	1:2
13.06.21	Spartaks - Liepāja	1:2
04.11.20	Liepāja - Spartaks	0:1

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