The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterhead 40.9%
Draw 27.4%
Cove Rangers 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.1%
26.5%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
26%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Peterhead - Cove Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Hepburn C. (G) 4. Graham A. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 2. Strachan D. 21. Forrest D. 6. Yule B. 8. McCarthy A. 34. Tekle R. 9. Megginson M. 17. Smith C.
1. Mutch R. (G) 15. Darge A. 7. Harrington R. 6. Mercer J. 2. Bisland L. 14. Chalmers J. 10. Barry M. 3. Ross D. 77. Maguire C. 26. White J. (C) 9. Oladipo D.
Substitutes
3. Davies-Browne T. 7. Keir L. 29. Luyeye B. 10. Mcluckie B. 1. Newman J. (G) 22. Ross S. 24. Searle J. 15. Stokes J. 18. To Z.
21. Demus B. (G) 8. Francis-Burrell A. 25. Milnes M. 18. Oppong E. 32. Parker L. 16. Teasdale J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Forrest D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Oladipo D. ↓, Teasdale J. ↑,
49', Maguire C. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Smith C. ⚽,
61', Chalmers J. ↓, Oppong E. ↑,
65', Tekle R. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
68', Barry M. 🟥,
69', Brown J. 🟨,
69', Hepburn C. 🟨,
69', White J. 🟨,
73', Maguire C. ↓, Francis-Burrell A. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Megginson M. ⚽,
81', Smith C. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
81', Megginson M. ↓, Keir L. ↑,
81', Forrest D. ↓, To Z. ↑,
87', Yule B. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th in the League One Promotion - Playoffs and 10th in the Relegation - League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 2.
Peterhead has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cove shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Peterhead has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:27 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peterhead against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Peterhead
12
3
1
8
9:20
-11
10
10
Cove Rangers
11
1
3
7
9:18
-9
6
Outrights of Scottish League One for now
Peterhead: 0.24% Cove Rangers: 0.15%
Last Results with these Odds
Cove Rangers - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.