Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)


	Inverness		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.3	5.15	8.2
	1.28	5.48	10.07
	1.33	5.25	8	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.26	4.95	9.6	Watch
	1.27	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	5.05 ↑ (4.45)	8.7 ↑ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
71.2%

Draw
18.2%

Peterhead
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.9%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inverness's performance.

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Inverness - Peterhead Predictions

Users Predictions: Inverness will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 14. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 19. Stewart A. 18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 23. Zimba C.	1. Newman J. (G) 2. Strachan D. 5. Brown J. 15. Steele A. 3. Duffy F. 19. Pawlett P. 21. Forrest D. 16. Ross M. 22. Ross S. 20. McGinn N. 10. Shanks K.
Substitutes
7. Allan P. 20. Brannan B. 8. Mackinnon A. 9. McKay B. 2. Millen R. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D.	77. Barry M. 18. Brown J. 14. Carnwath A. 24. James H. 27. Jones R. 7. McGuffie C. 13. McKelvie L. (G) 17. Smith C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Zimba C. ⚽, Stewart A. (A),
38', Strachan D. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Alonge J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 3 - 0, Zimba C. ⚽, Longstaff L. (A),
57', Pawlett P. ↓, Carnwath A. ↑,
57', Forrest D. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
57', Ross M. ↓, Barry M. ↑,
57', McGinn N. ↓, McGuffie C. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Shanks K. ⚽,
69', Ross S. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
89', Bavidge A. ↓, Mackinnon A. ↑,
90+1', Stewart A. ↓, Allan P. ↑,
90+4', Longstaff L. ↓, Willox K. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Inverness has had a series of away games.

In this match, Inverness is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Peterhead: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Peterhead	9	2	1	6	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
14.03.26	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Inverness - Montrose	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.02.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2 ✺
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWT
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
14.03.26	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Peterhead - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Peterhead - East Fife	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
25.10.25	Peterhead - Inverness	0:1
09.08.25	Inverness - Peterhead	2:0
Scottish League Cup
13.07.21	Inverness - Peterhead	2:0
16.07.19	Peterhead - Inverness	1:0 penalties
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.10.17	Inverness - Peterhead	3:0

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