Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ainslie Park (Edinburgh)


	Spartans		Dumbarton

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.72	3.65	4.15
	1.72	3.72	4.21	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.4
	1.69	3.58	4.37
	1.64	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.62 ↑ (3.57)	4.27 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
53.6%

Draw
25.1%

Dumbarton
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Spartans - Dumbarton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartans will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dumbarton will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Martin P. (G) 2. Watson K. 15. Sonkur A. 5. Tapping J. 19. Drysdale E. 33. Whyte B. 4. Welsh S. 28. Craigen J. 29. Stowe M. 9. McNulty M. 7. Dishington J.	1. Long B. (G) 25. Walker G. 5. Durnan M. 4. Webster K. 14. Livingstone A. 7. Tomlinson S. 6. Blair R. 18. Docherty D. 11. Wallace T. 15. McIntosh L. 21. Honeyman S.
Substitutes
8. Aiken M. 1. Carswell B. (G) 6. Dall B. 12. Nair K. 20. Ndlovu G. 11. Russell C. 10. Scott M. 23. Waugh K. 17. Wylie A.	20. Boyd S. 3. Clark C. 12. Gilfedder A. 22. Johnston C. 28. Kelly S. (G) 2. Lynas A. 16. Marshall D. 23. Neill M. 10. Roy A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Whyte B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Docherty D. ↓, Lynas A. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, McNulty M. ⚽,
74', Honeyman S. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
74', Wallace T. ↓, Roy A. ↑,
75', Stowe M. ↓, Dall B. ↑,
75', Drysdale E. ↓, Scott M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 1.

Recent performances by Spartans have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dumbarton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dumbarton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Spartans has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spartans is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartans won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Spartans: 7.87% Dumbarton: 3.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Spartans	9	3	3	3	19:17	2	12
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
27.12.25	Edinburgh City - Spartans	1:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.12.25	Montrose - Spartans	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
20.12.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Stirling Albion - Spartans	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Annan Athletic - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTT
- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
27.12.25	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Stranraer - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Dumbarton - Inverness	0:9 ✺
Scottish League Two
13.12.25	Dumbarton - East Kilbride	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Edinburgh City - Dumbarton	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
18.10.25	Dumbarton - Spartans	1:2
09.08.25	Spartans - Dumbarton	1:2
Scottish League One
17.05.24	Spartans - Dumbarton	2:2
14.05.24	Dumbarton - Spartans	2:1
Scottish League Two
16.03.24	Spartans - Dumbarton	2:6
13.02.24	Dumbarton - Spartans	0:0
21.10.23	Spartans - Dumbarton	2:0

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