Match Info

National League North - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.18	3.45	2.88
	2.25	3.68	2.88
	2.24	3.63	2.87	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.17	3.4	2.91
	2.28	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	2.89 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
41.7%

Draw
26.5%

Buxton
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

23.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Spennymoor Town - Buxton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spennymoor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Buxton will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Buxton (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Smith J. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Taylor G. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Ramshaw R. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Sodje T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 1.

Recent performances by Spennymoor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buxton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Spennymoor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Spennymoor Town - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
06.12.25	Marine - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Chorley - Spennymoor Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	2:3 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLL
- Buxton FC
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Buxton	6:2 ✺
English National League North
29.11.25	Buxton - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	King`s Lynn Town - Buxton	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Fylde - Buxton	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Buxton - Southport	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.03.25	Buxton - Spennymoor Town	1:0
30.11.24	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	1:1
16.12.23	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	2:3
23.09.23	Buxton - Spennymoor Town	0:2
01.04.23	Buxton - Spennymoor Town	2:1
08.10.22	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
18.02.17	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	1:1

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