Match Info

National League North - Round 44

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.9
	2.15	3.45	2.98
	2.22	3.62	2.97
	2.14	3.82	2.94	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.08	3.48	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.77)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	2.97 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
42.8%

Draw
26.2%

Worksop Town
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worksop Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worksop Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spennymoor Town - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Whitham L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 16).

Spennymoor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Worksop's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spennymoor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Spennymoor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spennymoor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Worksop: 0.91% Spennymoor: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10:16	-6	12
23	Spennymoor	10	1	4	5	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
06.04.26	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Spennymoor Town - South Shields	1:1 ✺
31.03.26	Spennymoor Town - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	King`s Lynn Town - Spennymoor Town	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hereford - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTWWW
- Worksop Town
English National League North
06.04.26	Worksop Town - Buxton	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Alfreton Town - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Worksop Town - Radcliffe	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Worksop Town - Fylde	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Marine - Worksop Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.09.25	Worksop Town - Spennymoor Town	3:3

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