Match Info

National League North - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Fylde

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.53
	4.4	4.1	1.55
	4.75	4.25	1.55
	5.12	4.22	1.58
	4.92	4.32	1.57	Watch
	5	3.9	1.57
	4.97	4.08	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↓ (5.74)	4.11 ↓ (4.48)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
19%

Draw
22.4%

Fylde
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

20.7%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fylde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worksop Town - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Whitham L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Worksop has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fylde is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Worksop may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fylde is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worksop won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Worksop won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Worksop: 0.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Worksop	11	5	0	6	12:17	-5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
14.03.26	Marine - Worksop Town	4:2 ✺
10.03.26	Bedford Town - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Worksop Town - Hereford	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Worksop Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	South Shields - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
17.03.26	Hereford - Fylde	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Fylde - King`s Lynn Town	4:1 ✺
10.03.26	Fylde - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Leamington - Fylde	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	South Shields - Fylde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.10.25	Fylde - Worksop Town	2:3
English NPL Premier Division
29.04.14	Fylde - Worksop Town	3:1
04.01.14	Fylde - Worksop Town	3:2
31.08.13	Worksop Town - Fylde	1:6
27.04.13	Worksop Town - Fylde	0:0

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