Match Info

National League North - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.78	3.15	2.4
	2.92	3.19	2.45
	2.81	3.31	2.43	Watch
	2.88	3	2.45
	2.86	3.02	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)	3.13 ↓ (3.42)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
32.5%

Draw
29.4%

Buxton
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Buxton aligns with the current prediction.

Worksop Town - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Kirby C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, Bardell M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Martin A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 11).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worksop won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Worksop won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Buxton: 4.86% Worksop: 0.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Buxton	10	5	1	4	18:18	0	16
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10:16	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Worksop Town - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Buxton - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
03.04.26	Alfreton Town - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Worksop Town - Radcliffe	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Worksop Town - Fylde	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Marine - Worksop Town	4:2 ✺
10.03.26	Bedford Town - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWWLW
- Buxton FC
English National League North
03.04.26	Buxton - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Hereford - Buxton	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Buxton - Bedford Town	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Leamington - Buxton	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Chorley - Buxton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.12.25	Buxton - Worksop Town	3:1
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Worksop Town - Buxton	0:0
English NPL Premier Division
19.02.14	Worksop Town - Buxton	3:1
25.09.13	Buxton - Worksop Town	2:4
04.05.13	Worksop Town - Buxton	2:0

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