Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 12

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 3


	Sport Recife		Bahia

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	6.2	4.2	1.42
	7.2	4.49	1.4
	7.19	4.27	1.44	Watch
	5.25	3.7	1.57
	5.68	4.48	1.49
	6.2	4.2	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (3.1)	4.13 ↑ (3.2)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
15.2%

Draw
22.3%

Bahia
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.4%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sport Recife - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nanda (C) 5. Andreia 7. Bianquinha 4. Debora X. 11. Gessica 10. Jaque 9. Layza 6. Marcelinha 3. Maria Clara 2. Negona 8. Taissa	12. Yanne (G) 27. Ary 13. Camila Santos 28. Cassia 5. Gomez A. 96. Ju Oliveira 4. Nalon N. 7. Rhaizza 77. Suelen (C) 64. Tchula 18. Vilma
Substitutes
21. Barros G. 14. Bruna 20. Duarte K. 15. Ellen 24. Gleyci 18. Hayla 17. Ingrid Beatriz (G) 19. Isis 13. Larissa Regina 16. Pintinho 1. Wanessa (G) 22. Yanca	16. Barbosa C. 24. Carballo W. 9. Gica 6. India 14. Kaiuska 10. Luana Rodrigues 30. Mari Pires 1. Nagila (G) 70. Thais Prado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Cassia ⚽,
39', Rhaizza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bianquinha ↓, Duarte K. ↑,
46', Rhaizza ↓, Carballo W. ↑,
60', Marcelinha 🟨,
66', Maria Clara 🟨,
68', Ju Oliveira ↓, Luana Rodrigues ↑,
68', Camila Santos ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
74', Gessica ↓, Barros G. ↑,
74', Taissa ↓, Hayla ↑,
76', Gomez A. ↓, Mari Pires ↑,
83', Layza ↓, Isis ↑,
85', Cassia ↓, Gica ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Carballo W. ⚽,
90+3', Negona ↓, Bruna ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women and 10).

Sport Recife has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bahia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sport Recife won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sport Recife won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife Women
Brasileiro Women
17.05.25	Corinthians - Sport Recife	4:0 ✺
12.05.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	3B da Amazônia - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLL
- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
18.05.25	Bahia - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Corinthians - Bahia	5:1 ✺
01.05.25	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
19.07.24	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:0
13.07.24	Sport Recife - Bahia	1:2
08.11.20	Bahia - Sport Recife	3:0

Sport Recife - Bahia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide