The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz Recife 70%
Draw 20.2%
Jaguar 9.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
22.7%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.7%
21.7%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.
Jaguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Santa Cruz Recife - Jaguar Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Rokenedy (G) 26. Alex Ruan 5. Andrey 3. Eurico (C) 4. Ianson 14. Israel 20. Patrick Allan 9. Quirino 18. Vitinho 8. Wagner Balotelli 10. Willian Junior
1. Igor (G) 5. Anderson Sao Joao 18. Edson Silva 11. Erik 13. Gil Mineiro (C) 16. Guilherme 10. Lele 2. Medina 6. Nilson 15. Paulo Miranda 8. Ruan Pablo
Substitutes
16. Cabeca D. 21. Fabiel L. 17. Gabriel Galhardo 25. Gabriel Souza (G) 22. Harley 13. Matheus Castilho 11. Matheus Regis 2. Pedro Costa 15. Pedro Favela 7. Robinho 6. Rodrigues 19. Vini Hora
3. Cruz R. 21. Gabriel Dinamite 14. Jackson 17. Jailton 26. Jefferson Recife 25. Juba V. 12. Juca (G) 20. Juninho 7. Leilson 23. Leo Mago 28. Oliveira F. 27. Ricardinho 9. Wallace
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Patrick Allan ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Willian Junior ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Quirino ⚽,
40', 4 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
45+3', Andrey 🟨,
45+5', Gil Mineiro 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Anderson Sao Joao ↓, Leilson ↑,
46', Lele ↓, Leo Mago ↑,
46', Nilson ↓, Cruz R. ↑,
46', Andrey ↓, Gabriel Galhardo ↑,
49', Ruan Pablo 🟨,
57', 5 - 0, Quirino ⚽,
58', Edson Silva ↓, Wallace ↑,
59', 6 - 0, Quirino ⚽,
62', Wagner Balotelli ↓, Pedro Favela ↑,
62', Israel ↓, Pedro Costa ↑,
66', Pedro Favela 🟨,
66', 🟨,
70', Willian Junior ↓, Robinho ↑,
70', Quirino ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
71', Leilson ↓, Jailton ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
Santa Cruz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jaguar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Santa Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Santa Cruz is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.