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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City 56.1%
Draw 24.8%
CF Montréal 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.3%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
27.9%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Kansas City's performance.
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CF Montréal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-18%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CF Montréal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.7%
6.2%
25%
Sporting Kansas City - CF Montréal Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 46.1% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
Kansas City has the most likely position - 14 (21.03%), project points - 37, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (33%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Montreal has the most likely position - 15 (17.3%), project points - 38, currently - 6, a chance of playoffs (28%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality36, small importance20, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 2.
Kansas City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Montreal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Kansas City is a favorite.
There will not play in Kansas City: Ford K.
(Injury)
Pierre K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Iliadis I.
(Red Card)
Kwizera J.
(Injury)
Lappalainen L.
(Injury)
Miljevic M.
(Injury)
Pantemis J.
(Injury)
Piette S.
(Injury)
Quioto R.
(Injury)
Toye M.
(Injury)
Vilsaint J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kansas City: Leibold T.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-7.
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