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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution 49.9%
Draw 26.2%
Sporting Kansas City 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
23.2%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
22.5%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.
Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Kansas City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
New England Revolution - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Kansas City will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
New England has the most likely position - 4 (10.08%), project points - 52, currently - 17, a good chance of playoffs (81%), a very small chance of supporters shield (3%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
Kansas City has the most likely position - 14 (16.21%), project points - 39, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (39%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality39, small importance19, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches New England won 3.
New England is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kansas City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match New England is a favorite.
There will not play in New England: Jackson J.
(Knee Injury)
Maciel L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McNamara T.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Castellanos R.
(Red Card)
Ford K.
(Injury)
Kinda G.
(Injury)
Pierre K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in New England: Kessler H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kansas City: Leibold T.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's New England to win the game is with odds 1.79.
Last 16 head-to-head matches New England won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-28.
Including matches at home between the teams New England won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.
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