Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Fontinhas		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.73
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.5	3.4	1.88
	4.99	3.79	1.71
	4.7	3.68	1.66	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.34)	3.55 ↑ (3.36)	1.79 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fontinhas
22.6%

Draw
25.9%

Sporting Lisbon B
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fontinhas's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fontinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fontinhas - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Fontinhas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Fontinhas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sporting Lisbon B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Lisbon B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fontinhas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
24.02.23	Leiria - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Fontinhas - Amora	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Belenenses - Fontinhas	6:0 ✺
04.02.23	Fontinhas - Real SC	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLLL
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
24.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Amora - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Real SC - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.11.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Fontinhas	2:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Fontinhas - Sporting Lisbon B	0:3
08.11.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Fontinhas	2:1

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