Match Info

Paulista B - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sporting Paulinense		Independente de Limeira

	1	X	2
	4.32	3.43	1.7
	5.1	3.61	1.61	Watch
	4.25	3.35	1.68
	4.93	3.63	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (4.93)	3.51 ↓ (3.78)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Paulinense
19.5%

Draw
25.9%

Independente de Limeira
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.9%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Paulinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Paulinense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Sporting Paulinense - Independente de Limeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

Paulinense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Independente SP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paulinense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Independente SP is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Paulinense
Brazilian Paulista B
05.07.26	Sporting Paulinense - São Carlos	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	São Carlos - Sporting Paulinense	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Guarulhos - Sporting Paulinense	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Sporting Paulinense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Sporting Paulinense - Flamengo de Guarulhos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WWWWL
- Independente de Limeira
Brazilian Paulista B
05.07.26	Independente de Limeira - Tupã	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Tupã - Independente de Limeira	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	São Carlos - Independente de Limeira	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Independente de Limeira - Santacruzense	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Independente de Limeira - Mogi Mirim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Sporting Paulinense - Independente de Limeira

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sporting Paulinense - Independente de Limeira Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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