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Current Win Probability
Sporting San José 43.3%
Draw 29.2%
Deportivo Saprissa 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
32%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
32.7%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting San José's performance.
Deportivo Saprissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Saprissa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San José than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting San José that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Saprissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting San José - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Moreira L. (G) 2. Salinas Y. 26. Gonzalez G. (C) 5. Soto A. 27. Chevez A. 19. Mendez J. 8. Pineda C. 22. Salas Y. 7. Pinto J. 6. Leiva G. 9. George Clayton M.
13. Alfaro I. (G) 27. Taylor S. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 3. Arboine P. 50. Elizondo M. 53. Carvajal J. 25. Acuna S. 19. Arboine K. 26. Soto A. 52. Gonzalez A. 14. Rodriguez A. (C)
Substitutes
12. Blandon K. 11. Carballo R. 14. Colindres D. 3. Espinoza K. 98. Gomez I. 99. Leal R. (G) 28. Navarro J. 33. Pastrana E. 16. Ramirez R. 21. Urena M.
39. Barahona A. 21. Escobar F. 42. Gonzalez J. 40. Madriz A. (G) 31. Padilla S. 23. Paradela L. 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. . Woodly D.
Coaches
Carevic A.
Medford H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Leiva G. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Soto A. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Salas Y. ⚽,
33', Chevez A. 🟨,
41', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 🟨,
42', 3 - 1, George Clayton M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Paradela L. ↑,
46', Carvajal J. ↓, Escobar F. ↑,
46', Elizondo M. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Leiva G. ⚽,
66', Leiva G. ↓, Colindres D. ↑,
66', Arboine K. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
75', Soto A. 🟨,
77', Soto A. ↓, Taylor Dosman G. G. ↑,
77', George Clayton M. ↓, Carballo R. ↑,
77', Mendez J. ↓, Blandon K. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
85', Torres G. 🟨,
88', Escobar F. 🟨,
90+1', Salas Y. ↓, Pastrana E. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting San José won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sporting San José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting San José won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting San José won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
Costa-rica
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Moreira L. (G) 
Pineda C. 
Gonzalez A. 
Carballo R. 
Pastrana E. 
Escobar F. 
Paradela L. 
Torres M. 
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