Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Universitario F.C. (Penonomé)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Caliente TV, Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting San Miguelito		Herediano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3	2.2	Watch
				Watch
	3.06	3.1	2.34
	3.53	3.27	2.06	Watch
	3.01	3.02	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San Miguelito
29.2%

Draw
29.6%

Herediano
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.5%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Sporting San Miguelito - Herediano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. San Miguelito will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Herediano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Jaen Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Cox Goods J. C. (Pen),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Miguelito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Herediano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguelito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Including home match between the teams, San Miguelito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.08.25	Plaza Amador - Sporting San Miguelito	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Diriangén	2:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
10.08.25	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
07.08.25	Municipal - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
03.08.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Tauro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTTW
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
16.08.25	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Alajuelense - Herediano	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Diriangén - Herediano	4:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.08.25	Herediano - Puntarenas FC	2:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.25	Herediano - Real España	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.06.22	Sporting San Miguelito - Herediano	4:1

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