Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Los Andes II (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports


	Sporting San Miguelito		San Francisco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	2.90	2.60
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.06	3.13	2.42
	2.89	3.38	2.34	Watch
	3	2.95	2.35
	3.34	3.44	2.09
	2.9	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.65)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San Miguelito
31.2%

Draw
29.1%

San Francisco
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

29.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Leon M. (G) 27. Tello Valor R. (C) 24. Hormechea C. 14. Hall J. 22. Ramirez S. 33. Betancourt J. 20. Bethancourt A. 23. Hurtado H. 55. Benitez R. 2. Caicedo J. 19. Avila M.	12. Frias J. (G) 30. Peralta R. 14. Calderon Kevin 31. Simmons V. 18. Rodriguez R. 7. Bonilla K. 8. Carrasquilla E. 99. Lopez J. 20. Pimentel V. (C) 9. Dinolis R. 19. Medina V.
Substitutes
26. Brown E. (G) 53. Castillo A. 29. Castillo J. 30. Castillo O. 8. Cordoba A. 6. Heraldez L. 21. Hoyos D. 25. Munoz J. 40. Ruiz J. I. 11. Zuniga L.	21. Flores I. (G) 13. French R. 22. Galvan K. 83. General J. 11. Mendez J. 3. Moreno S. 16. Palacios S. 38. Popoff A. 6. Rangel E. 27. Simmons V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Dinolis R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Avila M. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
46', Betancourt J. ↓, Ruiz J. I. ↑,
60', Bonilla K. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
61', Lopez J. ↓, General J. ↑,
63', Pimentel V. 🟨,
74', Benitez R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Medina V. ⚽,
77', Hormechea C. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
81', Bethancourt A. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
81', Dinolis R. ↓, French R. ↑,
82', Carrasquilla E. ↓, Simmons V. ↑,
85', Pimentel V. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Miguelito won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Miguelito won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.3:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.63%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

San Francisco - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.09.26	Deportivo Universitario - Sporting San Miguelito	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Herrera	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Árabe Unido - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLWL
- San Francisco FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
06.09.26	Alianza Panama - San Francisco	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	San Francisco - Plaza Amador	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Veraguas - San Francisco	3:3 ✺
14.08.26	San Francisco - Independiente de la Chorrera	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Union Cocle - San Francisco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
29.03.26	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:1
19.09.25	San Francisco - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1
13.05.25	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	1:2
14.03.25	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:1
06.09.24	San Francisco - Sporting San Miguelito	0:1
08.03.24	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	0:1
27.08.23	Sporting San Miguelito - San Francisco	2:0

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