Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sporting de Gijón		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.10	4.10	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.50
	1.98	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.31	4.17
	2.13	3.13	3.79	Watch
	1.98	3.30	4.20
	2.03	3.14	4.15	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.41)	3.15 ↑ (2.99)	3.93 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
46.2%

Draw
29.9%

Burgos
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

32.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting de Gijón's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sporting de Gijón - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (C) 2. Rosas G. 24. Dunabeitia A. 15. Vazquez P. 44. Cuenca A. 11. de la Fuente K. 14. Corredera A. 8. Rodriguez M. 20. Iosifov N. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 19. Otero J.	13. Cantero A. (G) 23. Dadie Izagirre A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 3. Vilarrasa I. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 20. Gragera J. 18. del Cerro S. 19. Llabres J. 16. Sanchez C. (C) 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 7. Campos G. 35. Ferreres C. 3. Garcia P. 4. Gularte E. 21. Loum M. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 27. Prendes E. 23. Saenz J. 5. Sanchez D. 16. Sarco A.	10. Appin K. 17. Cantero M. 5. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 21. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 1. Iribarne B. (G) 24. Lencina S. 22. Martinez B. 36. Martinez I. 11. Mollejo V. 31. Ribas I.
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Francisco S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Otero J. ⚽, Cuenca A. (A),
32', Sierra G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Gragera J. 🟨,
61', de la Fuente K. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
61', Rodriguez M. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
61', Llabres J. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
62', Vilarrasa I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
68', Gragera J. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
68', Sanchez C. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
73', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
77', del Cerro S. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
82', Iosifov N. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
82', Otero J. ↓, Ferreres C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2.

Sporting de Gijón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Burgos has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Campos G. (Injury) Ferrari A. (Leg Injury) Loum M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Lizancos A. (Knee Injury) Luengo O. (Finger Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Burgos - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
17.08.26	Sporting de Gijón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Sporting de Gijón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Celta de Vigo - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Marino de Luanco - Sporting de Gijón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TLWLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.26	Burgos - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
29.07.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Burgos	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.04.26	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:3
01.02.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:0
10.11.24	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	0:2
25.02.24	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
02.09.23	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	1:1

Upcoming Matches