Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, TVG 2
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Sporting de Gijón		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.18	3.29	3.7
	2.22	3.21	3.43	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.18	3.21	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.46)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	3.52 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
43.6%

Draw
29.8%

Deportivo A Coruña
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting de Gijón's performance.

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo A Coruña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	41.9%	22.6%

Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Deportivo will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sporting de Gijón (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Sanchez D. 12. Olivan B. 36. Rodriguez M. 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.	25. Fernandez A. (G) 23. Navarro X. 3. Comas A. 5. Barcia D. 18. Escudero S. 2. Altimira A. 14. Rodriguez R. 8. Villares D. (C) 21. Soriano M. 19. Cruz Luismi 32. Nsongo B.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 18. Coundoul A. 23. Curbelo E. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 27. Oyon A. 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K. 30. Venteo I. (G)	9. Eddahchouri Z. 27. Fernandez S. 16. Gragera J. 10. Hernandez Y. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 15. Loureiro M. 7. Mulattieri S. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G) 12. Quagliata G.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Olivan B. 🟨,
16', Barcia D. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Otero J. ⚽,
43', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Villares D. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
61', Escudero S. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
61', Navarro X. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
68', Campos G. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
70', Comas A. 🟨,
78', Nsongo B. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
78', Rodriguez R. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
79', Dubasin J. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Barcia D. ⚽, Cruz Luismi (A),
90+2', Rodriguez M. ↓, Curbelo E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.

Recent performances by Sporting de Gijón have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Cuenca A. (Muscle Injury) Ferrari A. (Leg Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Mella D. (Injury) Noubi L. (International duty) Stoichkov (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Deportivo: Loureiro M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo A Coruña - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.26	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Castellón	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTT
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Granada	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
10.05.25	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1
24.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
14.06.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
15.09.19	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
27.01.19	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2
09.09.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:0

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