Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting de Gijón		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.92	3.3	3.85
	1.8	3.35	4.35
	1.89	3.34	4.47	Watch
	1.91	3.2	4
	1.93	3.44	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)	3.33 ↑ (3.32)	4.07 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
49.1%

Draw
28%

Leganés
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	9.7%	6.5%

Sporting de Gijón - Leganés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Leganés (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Sanchez D. 36. Rodriguez M. 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.	1. Soriano J. (C) 22. Figueredo S. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 15. Franquesa E. 24. Diawara A. 9. Rodriguez D. 20. Plano O. 10. Cruz J. 12. Asue L. 17. Garcia N.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 18. Coundoul A. 9. Ferrari A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 12. Olivan B. 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.	21. Campos A. 8. Cisse S. 11. Duk 32. Fernandez S. 19. Garcia D. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Vazquez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Plano O. 🟨,
52', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
58', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
66', Asue L. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
66', Plano O. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
70', Figueredo S. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
72', Dubasin J. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
83', Garcia N. ↓, Duk ↑,
83', Aguilar Lopez G. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
85', Campos G. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sporting de Gijón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Cuenca A. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Nacho Martin (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.08%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.26	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting de Gijón - Huesca	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTWLW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Córdoba - Leganés	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Burgos - Leganés	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1
18.05.24	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
16.12.23	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	1:1
04.02.23	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
19.11.22	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	2:2
20.03.22	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
10.09.21	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	2:1

Upcoming Matches